Home Headlines That Matter NOAA predicts near-normal 2023 hurricane season

NOAA predicts near-normal 2023 hurricane season

Forecasters at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have predicted that this year’s hurricane season will be near-normal, with between 12 to 17 named storms.

In an update today, NOAA said its data showed there is a 40 per cent chance of a near-normal season, a 30 per cent chance of an above-normal season and a 30 per cent chance of a below-normal season.

This hurricane season will see a clash between natural and manmade weather features that can suppress or fuel hurricane activity.

A summary infographic showing hurricane season probability and numbers of named storms predicted from NOAA’s 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook. (Image credit: NOAA)


An El Nino is expected to develop in the summer months and this weather phenomenon tends to suppress Atlantic Hurricane activity.

But warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea have the potential to fuel cyclone activity.

A summary graphic showing an alphabetical list of the 2023 Atlantic tropical cyclone names as selected by the World Meteorological Organization. The official start of the Atlantic hurricane season is June 1 and runs through November 30. (Image credit: NOAA)


NOAA said these factors are part of the longer-term variability in Atlantic atmospheric and oceanic conditions that are conducive to hurricane development — known as the high-activity era for Atlantic hurricanes — which have been producing more active Atlantic hurricane seasons since 1995.

The 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season is set to run from June 1 to November 30.(Loop)

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